Saturday, September 5, 2015

Big 12 Predictions that stink..

Baylor 8-1
Oklahoma  7-2
TCU 7-2
Oklahoma State 5-4
Texas Tech 5-4
Kansas State 4-5
Texas 4-5
West Virginia 3-6
Iowa State 2-7
Kansas 0-9

Baylor: As much as it pains me to say this, I think Baylor will finish the year 11-1 with a loss coming somewhere on the road. It does benefit them with a young quarterback to have a backloaded schedule, but finishing at Oklahoma State where they have not won, and at TCU will be a difficult task. They will also play an embarrased OU team from prior years who will be improved this year I believe. Seth Russell will have legitimate numbers to give him a run at the heisman. He is more of a Briles style QB than Petty with his ability to run the football. Always love the added dimension in a college QB. The defense will have one of the strongest front fours in football led by Billings and Oakman. If you want to see a man play just watch Billings, he may be one of the best defensive players in football in 2015. If their is a hole on this team, it may be not having Bryce Hagar at middle linebacker position. But I believe the success of the season will depend on the secondary. They were streaky last year at best. Corners often get caught not playing the ball and settle for PI calls. That won't get it done in 2015 if the Bears want to make a run at the CFP.

Oklahoma: I think Oklahoma will be the "surpise" team this year. Before getting crushed by Baylor at home in 2014, they were a 2 loss team, both to top Big 12 teams by narrow margins and a strand of bad luck. That included a road game at TCU in which their reliable kicker missed some chip shots. The Sooners should also benefit from a QB change this year. I like Oklahoma to beat TCU at home and finish in a tie for second in the conference. 

TCU: Obviously they are the favorite in the Big 12 for good reaons. Like Baylor, they return 18 of 22 starters including heisman hopeful Boykin. They do have to travel to Kansas State this year, and also draw at Oklahoma, at Oklahoma State and get Baylor at home in 3 of their last 4 games. Advanced stats showed them as being the most fortunate team in turnover department last year. They will also have the target on their back this year, which is never easy. Coming in to the season their are question marks on the defensive side of the ball but I expect a Patterson coached team to alwasy excel in that department, especially by the end of the year. I think they will struggle to replicate what the did offsneively last year. They already took a good shot vs. Minnesota with a mediocre performance at best for the Big 12 favorite. I expect a solid season, but not buying into 9-0 Frogs just yet.

The rest of the Big 12 will be pretty mediocre. I do expect Tech and OSU to be improved with developing young QB's. Despite Texas recruiting efforts, they still have no QB. They also have a coach that will be on the hot seat if they fail to make a bowl. He will likely be on the hot seat even if they win 7 games. That being said I expect Texas to give him one more year in 2016.

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